19 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molin
JC
🇨🇿Jindrich Coufal
ELO 1489
FormWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Molin goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.