19 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osmera
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)