19 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1567
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (41)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.