19 Jul · 12:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1686
FormWWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Trnka
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1513
FormWLWWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+173
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)