19 Jul · 09:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1696
FormWWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Moravec
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+150
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)