19 Jul · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1522
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lasota
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1480
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.