19 Jul · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1533
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (85)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H24-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-23)