19 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1583
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dohnal
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Osmera🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (100)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.