19 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 76% (55)
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H16-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.