19 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1477
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dvorak
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (28)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H44-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.