19 Jul · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1686
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Trnka
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1536
FormWLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+150
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)