19 Jul · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1533
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H22-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.