19 Jul · 14:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1686
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Trnka
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1569
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)