19 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1536
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pokorny
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1513
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H15-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.