19 Jul · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1383
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1475
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🌟Jokiel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)