19 Jul · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1631
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1531
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 77% (26)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)