19 Jul · 14:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1513
2-3Final setsFitl won
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1509
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 57%. The actual result was Radek Fitl 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.61
Total 76.5
91 points played
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Lovl is favoured to win, below means Radek Fitl.
▲ Jan Lovlpre 54% → final 5%
Radek Fitl ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsFitl recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games