21 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1543
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sykora
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1523
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 68% (82)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H11-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.