21 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1486
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tlusty
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1451
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H40-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.