21 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1509
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 72% (36)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.