21 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1451
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zahradka
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1380
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (116)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)