21 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1587
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vosyka
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1544
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.