21 Jul · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1514
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skokan
VS
🇨🇿Viktor Skokan
ELO 1611
FormLLLWW
42%
58%
🌟Sulc covers set handicap as underdog 70% (79)
Fair odds · Skokan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)