Bartlomiej Molka vs Michal Lysakowski

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21 Jul · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka

ELO 1517

3-2Final setsMolka won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1550

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 54%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-2 — the underdog won.

Bartlomiej Molka — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.4

Upset

Total 80.5

96 points played

Over

Set handicap

Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lysakowski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.07

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.45

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 42% → final 2%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 66 ptsLysakowski recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games