21 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1622
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vicherek🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 82% (33)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.