21 Jul · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1443
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1532
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Jokiel covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)