21 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1512
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1622
FormWWLLL
41%
59%
🌟Sikora rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)