21 Jul · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1537
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Molin
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Molin goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)