21 Jul · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1513
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dusek🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H25-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-23)