21 Jul · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1509
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Boltik
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1551
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.