21 Jul · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1390
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chmelicek
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1365
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H19-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.