21 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1619
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1644
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowal🌟Kowal covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H22-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.