21 Jul · 22:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1646
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1647
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorisek🌟Jicha covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H106-142
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.