21 Jul · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1509
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zajicek
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)