21 Jul · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Marek Hluchy
ELO 1536
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1561
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.