21 Jul · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kanak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1490
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)