21 Jul · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1537
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Molin
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1439
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🌟Molin goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)