21 Jul · 22:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1636
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Niezgoda
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1420
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
🌟Niezgoda stays under total as favourite 65% (65)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+216
H2H45-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-20)