21 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1560
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rek
MH
🇨🇿Marek Hluchy
ELO 1536
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.