21 Jul · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1537
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cibik
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1503
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Juhasz🌟Juhasz covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.