21 Jul · 22:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1551
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Boltik
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+124
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)