21 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1420
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1644
FormLWWLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+224
H2H35-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+224)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-22)