21 Jul · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1511
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1530
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.