21 Jul · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Silhan
ELO 1627
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1646
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Silhan🌟Jicha stays under total as favourite 76% (25)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H21-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.