21 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1566
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rek
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1561
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Koutnik🌟Koutnik covers set handicap as underdog 74% (46)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.