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21 Jul · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1517
2-3Final setsLysakowski won
MLMichal Lysakowski
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1550
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 51%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Bartlomiej Molka — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 80.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Lysakowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 2.07
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 45% → final 2%
Michal Lysakowski ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsLysakowski recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games