21 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1487
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1526
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.