22 Jul · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1524
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1602
FormWLLLL
44%
56%
🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 77% (56)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H16-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-5)