22 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1513
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sevecek
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1482
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sturma🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.