22 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1513
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sevecek
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1424
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)